Trumpism is ramping up to a new climax — to see if it can achieve in 2024 what it failed at, but only partially, in 2021: a seizure of power, and the creation of a fascist-authoritarian state. That’s a mouthful, so let’s go through a few troubling developments.
While the GOP was not the first political party to utilize the Big Lie, the neoliberalism that was brought upon by the switching to a fiat monetary system in 1971 has resulted in major consequences. We have seen what happened after 45 years of using fiat currencies, which was the election of Donald Trump in 2016 by the white working class despite losing the popular vote. The 2018 elections yielded the same result, only that time the popular vote loss was much higher. In addition, the GOP was able to win the white working class in the elections between 2010 and 2018 due in part to the increase in poverty caused by the implementation of austerity measures.
Jason Kenney and Doug Ford are doing the same thing in Alberta and Ontario. In October 2018, Francois Legault's party CAQ secured a majority in the Quebec legislature and became the first right-wing premier of the province since the early 1970s. The problem wth Alberta, Ontario, and Quebec is very similar to that of what happened in the United States, United Kingdom, Hungary, Brazil, India, and Turkey after the 2008 financial crisis. Most European countries began implementing austerity measures in order to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis that affected the continent during the 2010s. Those austerity measures were much harsher than those that were implemented in America during the fiscal cliff situation.
As a result of the austerity measures, poverty rates continued to increase, which resulted in fascist governments being elected in countries like Poland and Slovakia. Greece was the worst country that was affected by this; a collapse in the GDP as a result of that country's debt crisis led to the implementation of austerity measures that removed the left-wing PASOK party from the parliament in the 2010s. A right-wing ND government took power in the country in the 2019 election after SYRIZA implemented more austerity measures in a way the David Camerons of the world did so. The austerity measures caused the UK to leave the European Union in 2016 and played a factor in Boris Johnson's Tories winning an expanded majority in 2019 thanks to the white working class no longer supporting Labour in the red wall areas.
Public health and social services began to be cut throughout all Western countries after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991; this continued at a faster rate in most Canadian provinces and the European Union until the 2008 financial crisis. The 2021 election in Madrid saw the right wing VOX party become the dominant force in Spain's government, beginning the process of displacing Podeoms from power. The two main parties of France lost elections between 2015 and 2021 to the LREM party and the National Rally, the latter of which is trying to help Marine Le Pen win the 2022 election and expand the Big Lie style fascism to France.
Due to economic crises in Latin America following the 2008 financial crisis despite the implementation of social programs by left wing governments, the Latin American working class began supporting far right parties in the mid-2010s after the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff; the elections of Jair Bolsonaro as President of Brazil in 2018 and Guillermo Lasso as President of Ecuador in 2021 have helped accelerate the rise of fascism in that region. Similar situations began happening in Africa at around the same time when a fascist Ethiopian government came to power in 2019 when several parties merged into the Prosperity Party and when Alassane Ouattara was reelected the president of the Ivory Coast one year later despite major protests.
What is expected to happen in America between 2022 and 2024 is going to be more like what Myanmar experienced between 2015 and 2020. A democratic government was elected in that country in late 2015, and an economic crisis that started in late 2019 started to weaken the government. The NLD won a majority of seats in the 2020 elections that were held one week after the Trump-Biden election. The USDP (which was the military's proxy party) won very few seats, but alleged that the election was fraudlent; the USDP and the military would seize power in a military coup in February 2021, returning the country to a fascist military dictatorship that was last seen between 1991 and the early 2000s.
The game plan for the GOP is to decertify Democratic victories in the House of Representatives and the Senate (turning a Democratic Party majority into a GOP majority) while losing the popular vote at the same time. Arizona, Florida, Georgia, and Texas have passed election decertification laws as a response to the GOP losing the 2020 presidential election, and more GOP controlled states are expected to do so before mid-2022. What will happen in 2022 is that the Democrats will win both houses of Congress only for the state legislatures to decertify elections and declare the GOP candidates the winners of such elections.
This sets the stage for 2024, where a Democratic candidate will win the popular and electoral votes, after which state legislatures and both houses of Congress will vote to decertify the election and send the election to the House of Representatives, where each state delegation gets one vote. The GOP will control most states in January 2025 and the House will elect a GOP president despite losing both the popular and electoral votes (while winning the popular vote in the white working class). The attempted coups of January 2021 and the period between November 2022 and February 2023 will cause the 2024 election to be the first annulled presidential election in American history. Extremely dire times are ahead, and everything is going to hit the fan sooner than anyone thinks.